Stock update 22 Aug

 STOCK UPDATE

BUY

CMP:Rs 1,040
PT:Rs 1,220
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Persistent Systems Limited

Growth drivers intact, maintain Buy

  • We retain our Buy rating on Persistent Systems Limited (PSL) with a revised PT of Rs. 1,220.
  • Among mid-tier companies, PSL clocked strongest revenue growth given its exposure to less-impacted verticals such as BFSI, technology and healthcare.
  • Growth momentum in technology services would continue beyond FY21E led by increasing spends on digital program, strong deal wins and a healthy deal pipeline.
  • Cash &cash equivalents account for 19% of its current market capitalisation; strong balance sheet and potential strong earnings growth (15% CAGR over FY2020-22E) provide us comfort on the stock.

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VIEWPOINT

POSITIVE

CMP:Rs 151
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MOIL Limited

Recovery in sight as steel demand improves

  • MOIL Limited (MOIL) reported better-than-expected Q1FY2021 results, as operating profit came in at Rs. 48 crore vs. expectation of operating loss of Rs. 44 crore. Performance was led by lower opex (down 38.5% y-o-y), higher realisation (up 30% q-o-q), and likely liquidation of inventory at higher prices.
  • The recent recovery in utilisation of domestic steel plants to 85-90% bodes well for recovery in manganese volume in H2FY2021. We expect a 22% PAT CAGR over FY2020-FY2022E, led by volume recovery and better realisation.
  • Valuation is attractive at 2.7x its FY2022E EV/EBITDA, 38% discount to historical EV/EBITDA multiple. MOIL offers dividend yield of 4% and has a strong balance sheet with cash and cash equivalent of Rs. 1,828 crore (51% of market capitalisation).
  • Hence, we maintain our Positive view on MOIL and expect 15% upside from current levels.

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